A633.5.3.RB – Reflections on Chaos
After
watching the short clip on chaos and leadership, I found several things were
brought to my attention. I have never experienced or watched this exercise
before, thus leading my brain to play the guessing game about the final
outcome. For instance, throughout the short clip I was trying to predict what
was going to happen. I thought surely there would be chaos, that people would
not be able to accurately split the difference between their two points without
messing someone else’s distance; therefore, it would almost become an endless
chaotic loop. Not only did I think that the entire exercise was going to be
completely unorganized, I also envisioned the group physically running into
each other by running to their places.
However,
my prediction was wrong. After, 2 or 3 seconds of predicting the outcome, the
group began to move slowly and controlled. They knew whom they had picked and
no one else did, and as time went on they moved less and less until they all
found their spot in under a minute. Assuming that they all ended up half way
between their two references, they accomplished this effectively and rather
quickly. The individuals became a system working together towards a final state
seemingly disorganized, but did so in a very rhythmic manner. They were like
gears turning and moving until they came to an organized stop.
This exercise is a prime example of the chaos theory in many ways. Obolensky
(2010) stated that chaos theory “shows how chaos has an underlying order and
patterns which can be used to good effect.” He also quotes the book Nature’s
Numbers in saying that “to an untrained eye it looks pretty much random.”
In relation to the exercise, there was an underlying order although they did
not move in expected paths, each person had a goal and it depended on all of
the other individuals and that is what created their path. To the audience
these paths looked completely random and unorganized. At times it even looked
as if people were moving aimlessly and then suddenly stopped in place. This
explains step for step the definition of the chaos theory because many factors
internal and external affected the underlying patterns that occurred in the
exercise. These patterns have a bit of order and purpose; however, to an
outsider chaos is scary.
Patterns
and purpose are sometimes hard to see and understand, which lead to implications
in organizational strategy. It is nearly impossible to predict chaos
before or during it, and that makes strategizing difficult. In its nature, strategy
is based on a future state and chaos theory is there to let organizations know
not to get too far ahead because one will not always know or understand what
could potentially happen.
References
Obolensky, N. (2010). Complex adaptive leadership. (2nd
Edition). London, UK: Gower/Ashgate.
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